花旗發表研究報告指出,對2026年下半年中國股市前景審慎樂觀,看好科技及出口板塊,並將保險板塊的投資評級從「中性」上調至「增持」。該行預期保險公司將受惠於更多來自股票的投資收益,以及銀行存款流入保險產品。該行分別將恒生指數、滬深300指數及MSCI中國指數的2026年底目標價定於29,600點(較原目標30,000點下調1.3%)、5,600點及92.0,並引入2027年上半年恒指目標30,500點。花旗表示,由於A股市場擁有較多科技股權重及更充裕的流動性,因此在2026年下半年較看好A股多於H股。行業配置方面,花旗維持對科技、基本材料、醫療保健及互聯網板塊的「增持」評級,但將互聯網板塊的權重下調5.3個百分點至36.5%,主因盈利增長放緩。該行同時將金融板塊權重上調1.6個百分點至12.1%,看好香港強勁的IPO管道及高市場成交額。該行亦指出,恒指2026年每股盈利增長預測已加速至按年增長9.9%,主要來自能源及原材料板塊,而科技、互聯網及汽車板塊則遭下調,其中小米(01810.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $1.31B; Ratio 29.467% 、阿里巴巴(09988.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $1.50B; Ratio 14.413% 及美團(03690.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $1.32B; Ratio 25.004% 被點名為盈利下調的主要原因。在個股層面,花旗更新了H股首選買入名單,保留騰訊(00700.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $939.48M; Ratio 6.551% (目標價783港元)、友邦(01299.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $954.26M; Ratio 29.594% (目標價103港元)、恒瑞醫藥(01276.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $32.45M; Ratio 14.659% (目標價134港元)及攜程(TCOM.US) (美股目標價82美元),並加入五礦資源(01208.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $57.69M; Ratio 19.650% (目標價11.2港元)、中金公司(03908.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $34.27M; Ratio 7.414% (目標價27.66港元)、瀾起科技(06809.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) (目標價305港元)及ASMPT(00522.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $269.56M; Ratio 14.267% (目標價180港元),以取代部分硬件股及紫金礦業。其中,該行看好中金公司受惠於A股公司雙重上市潮,並預期ASMPT在熱壓焊接及光子學領域的新機遇將成為2027年後的主要增長動力。此外,花旗分析了中東衝突可能緩和對不同港股的影響。下游消費、工業及公用事業股如申洲國際(02313.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $27.70M; Ratio 10.432% 、裕元集團(00551.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $6.54M; Ratio 24.811% 、恒安國際(01044.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $20.69M; Ratio 33.721% 、泡泡瑪特(09992.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $302.57M; Ratio 9.891% 、新秀麗(01910.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $3.30M; Ratio 5.818% 、周大福創建(00659.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $549.23K; Ratio 3.140% 及新奧能源(02688.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $24.09M; Ratio 5.509% 等,可能因能源及物流成本下降而受惠。相反,汽車股比亞迪(01211.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $849.07M; Ratio 27.970% 、吉利汽車(00175.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $169.34M; Ratio 16.948% 、長城汽車(02333.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $9.11M; Ratio 6.950% 等,則可能因油價下跌削弱新能源汽車需求而受壓。在花旗的H股「沽售」名單中,則包括華能國際電力(00902.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $22.01M; Ratio 13.968% (目標價4.6港元)、華潤電力(00836.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $129.11M; Ratio 31.685% (目標價17.5港元)、徽商銀行(03698.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $7.05M; Ratio 7.260% (目標價4港元)、比亞迪電子(00285.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $118.41M; Ratio 24.093% (目標價22.6港元)、澳博控股(00880.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $5.12M; Ratio 31.006% (目標價1.8港元)、泉峰控股(02285.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $2.44M; Ratio 13.880% (目標價17.5港元)及華潤醫療(01515.HK) 0.000 (0.000%) Short selling $1.19M; Ratio 16.401% (目標價2.6港元)。(ad/u)(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2026-05-26 16:25.) (Real-time Streaming US Stocks Quote; Except All OTC quotes are at least 15 minutes delayed.)