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<Research>Haitong Int'l Expects LI AUTO-W to Return to Profit in 4Q, Cuts TP to $81.34
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LI AUTO-W (02015.HK) charted revenue of RMB27.4 billion in 3Q25, down 36% YoY, Haitong International's research report indicated. Among which, automotive sales revenue amounted to RMB25.9 billion, down 37% YoY, dented by meager quarterly deliveries, which continued to squeeze overall revenue.

The non-GAAP net loss was RMB360 million, swinging to a loss both YoY and QoQ. Excluding the impact of the MEGA recall event and other one-time factors, the GM could reach 20.4%. However, considering the recall was a non-recurring event, and the company's operational resilience remained intact, the broker expected Li Auto to return to profit in 4Q.

Related NewsJPM: LI AUTO-W (02015.HK) 3Q Swings to Loss on One-time Recall Costs; Rating Kept Neutral
Under recent sales pressure, the MEGA recall, and the switch of i6 battery suppliers leading to delayed ramp-up, the 4Q sales guidance was conservative. The broker trimmed the revenue forecast of the company for 2025-27 to RMB111.6 billion/ RMB122 billion/ RMB136.8 billion (down 14%/ 28%/ 33%).

The broker gave a target price of HK$81.34 for the automaker, vs the original target price of HK$99.5, maintaining a Neutral rating.
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